I don’t have a great deal to say about the Spanish election.
I don’t have much insight beyond what you could get by reading the papers. I
only look at the political circus occasionally, and I never watch the TV news. I
am bored senseless with the soap opera that politics has become in Europe. A
fawning and ignorant press run to take photos of their idols, and defend them
fiercely from attack. News is determined by the image, not by the importance of
a story. Simplistic narratives are created and maintained by reporters who have
made little attempt to understand the facts that they purport to explain to the
public, and no attempt to discover what the public might in fact want to know.
Political journalism has become as lazy and salacious and false as the gossip columns.
Perhaps it was always like that. The result is that I am not interested in the
personalities and the details of who might or might not have meant what when
they supposedly said, or will say, what to whom, and so I can’t give informed
comment. But I can describe my own experience of the process.
The campaign has as its backdrop the departure of the
sitting president, an incompetent figurehead propped up with varying success by
his advisers for eight years; and a very severe economic crisis, with nearly 5
million unemployed, a stagnant, illiquid economy, and government debt, both
regional and national, at levels which cannot be sustained even on paper for
much longer.
It is almost certain that Mariano Rajoy, the leader of the
Popular Party since 2004, will be elected President, and quite likely that he
will have an absolute majority in Parliament. There is widespread perception
that Zapatero made a mess of handling the crisis and his party will pay heavily
for it. Rightly or wrongly, his hand was on the helm, and people want a change
of pilot. The expectation invested in Rajoy is very great, and he is certain to
disappoint many people, but if he can do enough, and the economy recovers
sufficiently in the next couple of years (which two outcomes are not
necessarily related) he may be in for a while.
There is no ‘indignao’ movement here, in this small city
that is now my home. There was, from May to sometime in the summer, but it seems
to have melted away. In the bigger cities it seems to have morphed into the occupy
movement, and to have lost its original purpose.
At national level I can only refer to impressions and
analogy, but here at least the ‘indignaos’ were not the usual bunch of hairy
kids shouting and breaking things because they wanted other people’s money.
They were mostly young and hairy, true, but their protest was considerate,
peaceful, intelligently articulated and directed against the system of
elections and representation, which works by closed lists and public funding of
parties, essentially places all power, and a lot of our money, in the hands of
the party controller. Thus the councillors and MP’s who represent us have in
fact no loyalty at all to the voters. They owe everything to the party managers
who decide who gets on the list and therefore who can enjoy a career of posing
for the press at public expense. The parties have even claimed repeatedly that
the seats belong to them, and not to the elected member (and certainly not to
the electorate), replacing one of their team with another when they resign, die
or are sacked.
The main complaint of the indignaos was that the parliaments
are not truly representative of the people who elect them, and they are quite
right. Not only are they right but they were able to persuade people that it
mattered. And they have affected the election. A party founded a couple of
years ago by Rosa Diaz, a woman who left the Socialist party to pursue her own
path, is standing, and she, as the candidate for the presidency, is standing,
on a platform that doesn’t look very socialist, and instead looks very much
like the platform for electoral and representational reform that the indignaos
and many others want to see. She won’t win, but she might get a seat.
The streets are full of posters. There is a set date about
three weeks before the election when the campaign officially begins and the
party workers spend the night hanging their leaders photos from lampposts. The
city puts up billboards on roundabouts and parks and they stick them there,
too. Vans with loudspeakers tour the streets making promises they have no
intention of keeping. People you thought you knew hand out pot plants on street
corners in the name of minor groupings you’ve never heard of. And in a town
this size, one of the newly elected councillors is always a friend of yours who
you had assumed had no politics worth speaking of and would have been on the
other side if he did have them.
That’s the extent of the intrusion into my existence of the
general election. The vans you just screen out, and beyond the fact that one
side of the street is blue and the other red, you don’t have to notice it
unless you want to. Until they start giving orders, of course.
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